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2023-12-29

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (4.0 off)
Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -2 (85-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Stephens * 32 6-12 1-5 3-4 2 5 4 0 4 16 11 -
L. Ball * 31 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 2 2 3 9 -
L. Donadio * 27 2-5 2-2 1-2 4 3 1 0 0 7 10 -
M. Mayock * 25 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 11 6 -
M. Rogers * 25 5-9 2-3 1-2 7 3 2 1 2 13 15 -
G. Sprouse 20 4-6 4-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
C. Smalls 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Ballisager Webb 15 7-8 0-0 3-6 3 1 0 0 0 17 13 -
G. Jones 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Johnson * 34 11-16 6-9 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 31 18 -
D. Brown * 27 3-8 2-5 1-2 8 2 2 0 5 9 8 -
A. Reese * 25 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Banks Jr. * 23 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 9 6 -
K. Smith * 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Lorca-Lloyd 26 3-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 2 8 9 -
M. Short 19 3-5 1-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
F. Emmou 16 2-7 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
A. Valentine 10 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
D. Sapp 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Ciunys 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter