Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.6 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +1 (94-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Brown * | 39 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Devan Sapp * | 35 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bryce Johnson * | 29 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Max Lorca-Lloyd * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marlon Short | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Franck Emmou | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Khydarius Smith | 17 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ace Valentine | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Ashton Reese | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 13-14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Skyy Clark * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tre White * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Huntley-Hatfield * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dennis Evans * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 27 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Emmanuel Okorafor | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Curtis Williams | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Danilo Jovanovich | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaleb Glenn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter