Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4683747 * | 42 | 9-21 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 42 | 2-14 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Fardaws Aimaq * | 39 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Grant Newell * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Monty Bowser * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Brown Jr. | 25 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Gus Larson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Wrenn Robinson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| ND Okafor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Pavlovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 42 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Waters * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jay Pal | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Heide | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter