Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dawson * | 32 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Love * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Turner * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Gumbs * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Mason * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Benson | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Sykes | 22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Nix | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Horne | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. O'Garro | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rigsby * | 36 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| T. Dowd * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Fields * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Muhammad * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Rigsby Jr. * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Eugene | 26 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T. Conerway | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Seng | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| V. Valdes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Ovalle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter