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2024-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (4.5 off)
Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -

Actual: Troy Trojans +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dawson * 32 4-12 4-10 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 12 3 -
B. Love * 30 2-4 0-0 5-7 7 2 1 0 0 9 15 -
C. Turner * 27 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
K. Gumbs * 25 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 3 8 7 -
J. Mason * 22 3-8 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 8 1 -
C. Benson 23 2-5 0-3 3-3 0 0 1 0 2 7 1 -
D. Sykes 22 4-11 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
C. Nix 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
D. Horne 5 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. O'Garro 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rigsby * 36 7-10 1-1 5-6 9 2 3 0 3 20 21 -
T. Dowd * 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
J. Fields * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
A. Muhammad * 17 2-6 0-1 5-6 4 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
M. Rigsby Jr. * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
C. Eugene 26 6-11 3-7 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 17 9 -
T. Conerway 24 5-7 0-1 4-6 2 6 0 0 3 14 12 -
T. Seng 16 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
V. Valdes 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 -
R. Jones 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
R. Ovalle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter