Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Sykes * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 34 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Elijah Tate | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Coleton Benson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Nix | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dontae Horne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Jones * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Millender * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Samuel Tabe * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Julian Margrave * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Elijah Ormiston * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Isiah Gaiter | 30 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Thomas Howell | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Judah Brown | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marshall Kearing | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ethan Kizer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter