Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Christyon Eugene * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -15.9 |
| Victor Valdes * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | -6.1 |
| Aamer Muhammad * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -17.8 |
| Theo Seng * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Tayton Conerway | 25 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +14.8 |
| Thomas Dowd | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +9.0 |
| Randarius Jones | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Hicks * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 18 | +6.9 |
| Taryn Todd * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 12 | +9.8 |
| Caleb Fields * | 35 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | +23.1 |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22 | +17.5 |
| Avery Felts * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 19 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -12.6 |
| Julian Lual | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zane Butler | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
* = starter