Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taryn Todd * | 36 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | -2.6 |
| Caleb Fields * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Derrian Ford * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Freddy Hicks * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +1.5 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 24 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Avery Felts | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Julian Lual | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zane Butler | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Lado Laku | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Millender * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Tyrell Jones * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +6.0 |
| Samuel Tabe * | 32 | 15-24 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 17 | - |
| Elijah Ormiston * | 30 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | -4.4 |
| Julian Margrave * | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Isiah Gaiter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Judah Brown | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Thomas Howell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marshall Kearing | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 |
* = starter