Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 39 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Derrian Ford * | 35 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Taryn Todd * | 26 | 7-20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Dyondre Dominguez * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Freddy Hicks | 28 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Avery Felts | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Julian Lual | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zane Butler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lado Laku | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Aamer Muhammad * | 28 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Christyon Eugene * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Dowd * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jackson Fields * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Randarius Jones | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tayton Conerway | 17 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Theo Seng | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Victor Valdes | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter