Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +15 (95-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Watson * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| M. Willis * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| J. Bolden * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Gallion * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Ngopot * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Metskhvarishvili | 32 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Locure | 20 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Wilson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P.D. McCraney | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| D. Ford * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| I. Nelson * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| D. Dominguez * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Felts * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Todd | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Lual | 19 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Z. Butler | 16 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Laku | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Hardnett | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter