Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.8% | 10.2% | -11.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 42 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Ford * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| D. Dominguez * | 20 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Felts * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. Nelson * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Todd | 30 | 6-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| J. Lual | 24 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Hardnett | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. McDavid | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. Butler | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Laku | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Locure * | 39 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Willis * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Bolden * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Ngopot * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Gallion * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Metskhvarishvili | 35 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| T. Watson | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Wilson | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| AD Diedhiou | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| P.D. McCraney | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter