Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyondre Dominguez * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Derrian Ford * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Avery Felts * | 23 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Julian Lual | 27 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Freddy Hicks | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Taryn Todd | 20 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Zane Butler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Noah McDavid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Mason * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Coleton Benson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Nix | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dontae Horne | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter