Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mason * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Dawson * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Love * | 25 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| K. Gumbs * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Turner * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Sykes | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Horne | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Benson | 16 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Nix | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Tate | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dominguez * | 37 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Fields * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 16-20 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 33 | - |
| I. Nelson * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| D. Ford * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Felts * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Todd | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Hardnett | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Laku | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lual | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Butler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter