Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +23 (80-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrian Ford * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -17.2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -10.3 |
| Taryn Todd * | 27 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | -10.9 |
| Caleb Fields * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Freddy Hicks * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -11.1 |
| Avery Felts | 30 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -11.8 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Julian Lual | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lado Laku | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Zane Butler | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Noah McDavid | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.7 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Von Spillers * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 26 | +20.9 |
| CJ Huntley * | 30 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +14.0 |
| Donovan Gregory * | 29 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +19.7 |
| Terence Harcum * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | +9.4 |
| Xavion Brown * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +20.5 |
| Myles Tate | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Justin Abson | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Christopher Mantis | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Jordan Marsh | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Bryant Greene | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
* = starter