Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | High Point Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: High Point Panthers +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 30 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Lieb * | 17 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Lewis | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ty Pence | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
High Point Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulaye Thiam * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Trae Benham * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Juslin Bodo Bodo * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kimani Hamilton * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Duke Miles * | 15 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kezza Giffa | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Titas Sargiunas | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Denzel Hines | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cade Potter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter