Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Santos * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Holmes II * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| E. Cheeks * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Bennett * | 27 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| K. Brea | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Z. Nwokeji | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| I. Jack | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. Padegimas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Schuler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Uhl | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roberts * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Dunn * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Shead * | 29 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| LJ Cryer * | 29 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| J. Francis * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| E. Sharp | 20 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Tugler | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Wilson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Lath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Walker Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter