Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +16 (79-63). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jones * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Caleb Mills * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jaykwon Walton * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Brown * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Nick Jourdain | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ashton Hardaway | 16 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jay Young | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Pierre | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carl Cherenfant | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Moore * | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| TJ Bamba * | 26 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Mark Armstrong * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Burton * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Hakim Hart | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Lance Ware | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Longino | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brendan Hausen | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nnanna Njoku | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter