Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tre'Von Spillers * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Justin Abson * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Gregory * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Xavion Brown * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Myles Tate | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| CJ Huntley | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Christopher Mantis | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jordan Marsh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Sykes * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 30 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Coleton Benson | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Elijah Tate | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter