Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Nate Santos * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Player #4433607 * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Elvis * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Koby Brea | 27 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Jack | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Petras Padegimas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431691 * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Wright * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Stewart * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Reed * | 25 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Mike Williams III * | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Trae Hannibal | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tyrell Ward | 21 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Dean | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter