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2023-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 49.9% 50.1% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% -
Log Adjusted 76.1% 23.9% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bennett * 35 5-15 4-13 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 16 5 -
N. Santos * 34 6-9 3-6 4-6 9 0 3 0 1 19 21 -
E. Cheeks * 31 2-6 1-3 1-4 10 0 2 2 1 6 13 -
Player #4433607 * 28 2-9 0-2 4-6 4 2 0 0 4 8 1 -
K. Elvis * 25 2-8 0-3 2-2 2 5 2 0 0 6 7 -
K. Brea 27 4-8 3-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 13 7 -
I. Jack 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
P. Padegimas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Z. Nwokeji 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4431691 * 32 4-9 2-6 0-0 8 2 1 3 3 10 12 -
J. Wright * 28 1-7 0-1 2-3 5 3 3 0 0 4 8 -
C. Stewart * 25 4-9 0-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
J. Reed * 25 7-9 1-1 1-1 1 2 0 1 4 16 7 -
M. Williams III * 15 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
T. Hannibal 25 2-4 0-0 2-4 0 1 1 0 3 6 1 -
T. Ward 21 3-4 3-3 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 12 12 -
D. Fountain 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 3 -
M. Wilkinson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
H. Dean 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Collins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter