Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -18 (68-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Brown * | 35 | 12-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | +17.5 |
| Marcus Banks * | 34 | 11-21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 15 | +16.6 |
| Ace Valentine * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +16.5 |
| Devan Sapp * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +20.6 |
| Max Lorca-Lloyd * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Franck Emmou | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Alpha Chibambe | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Ashton Reese | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.2 |
| Khydarius Smith | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ethan Lynch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarence Daniels * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | -11.4 |
| Ahmad Robinson * | 36 | 0-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -14.6 |
| Trey Woodyard * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -12.6 |
| Jaxson Baker * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -13.2 |
| Rex Sunderland * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -16.2 |
| Davide Poser | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.2 |
| Naim Miller | 14 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Christian Moore | 10 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Paul Gakmar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Dior Davis | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.1 |
* = starter