Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bradford | 39 | 6-15 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Wells | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Gross | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Miles | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Manuel | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Harris | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| O. Knight | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tif. Tullis | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Henson | 32 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| S. Dickson | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Foster | 28 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Coleman | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| T. Jefferson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Leff | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Smith | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Hill | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Claybrooks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Self | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter