Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henson | 30 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Tif. Tullis | 29 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | -5.8 |
| M. Hill | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11.0 |
| S. Dickson | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | -3.0 |
| Julia Coleman | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -4.0 |
| J. Foster | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -3.9 |
| K. Claybrooks | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4.1 |
| G. Self | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -15.8 |
| C. Smith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| N. Leff | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3.8 |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacorriah Bracey | 39 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 27 | +9.1 |
| Nyla Jean | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +13.2 |
| D. Davis | 32 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Melyia Grayson | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Morgan Sieper | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | +7.5 |
| E. Blatchford | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +13.9 |
| E. Wallhoff | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| M. Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Mikaylah Manley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter