Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bradford | 37 | 4-18 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| L. Gross | 32 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Wells | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jakayla Johnson | 27 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Katlyn Manuel | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Miles | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| B. Harris | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Ford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Olivia Knight | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chardai Watkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Carver | 37 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Faith Alston | 32 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 9-11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Alexis Black | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| M. Frazier | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Rylan Moffitt | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J'Mani Ingram | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chae Harris | 9 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zada Porter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter