Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Alston | 40 | 9-20 | 3-7 | 7-10 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 15 | - |
| M. Frazier | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Alexis Black | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rylan Moffitt | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Chae Harris | 28 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Lewis | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J'Mani Ingram | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Samantha Lafon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| MaKenzie Drout | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikyla Tolivert | 30 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 8-12 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Crystal Henderson | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Phillip | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Mya Williams | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Merrill | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kaleigh Addie | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Patience Williams | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Christeina Bryan | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Turral | 11 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Dziak | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaliyah Hunt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter