Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +33 (102-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Moffitt | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -27.6 |
| Alexis Black | 29 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | -20.6 |
| Emily Carver | 23 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -19.5 |
| F. Alston | 21 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -33.2 |
| Zada Porter | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | +2.4 |
| M. Frazier | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -7.3 |
| J'Mani Ingram | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | -1.3 |
| Chae Harris | 14 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -6.2 |
| L. Bugajski | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -11.7 |
| MaKenzie Drout | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Nadiyah Byard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Guion | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.1 |
| J. Hollings | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| M. Hallmon | 21 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Leilani Augmon | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4.3 |
| T. Porchia | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Zay Dyer | 19 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | +18.0 |
| Shaulana Wagner | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +20.3 |
| S. Hartsfield | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +9.5 |
| N. Daniel | 17 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. Cartagena | 15 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +0.0 |
| S. Carvajal Caro | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +8.5 |
* = starter