Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.2% | 3.8% | -17.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -7 (85-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hallmon | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Hollings | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| T. Porchia | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Daniel | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Shaulana Wagner | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zay Dyer | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Hartsfield | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Leilani Augmon | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Leilani Guion | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Cartagena | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Carvajal Caro | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henson | 36 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| G. Self | 35 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | - |
| M. Hill | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Dickson | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Foster | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Tif. Tullis | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| N. Leff | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Claybrooks | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Smith | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Julia Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter