Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +11 (87-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Ingram * | 38 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Cormac Ryan * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Cam Spencer * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Tristen Newton * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Solomon Ball * | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Samson Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Hassan Diarra | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Stephon Castle | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Youssouf Singare | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter