Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +26 (96-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 28 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Davis | 17 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ty Pence | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 34 | 10-15 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Tre Mitchell * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| D.J. Wagner * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Justin Edwards * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Bradshaw * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Rob Dillingham | 22 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Burks | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kareem Watkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brennan Canada | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Horn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grant Darbyshire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter