Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +32 (99-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Eric Coleman * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| TJ Madlock * | 28 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Isaiah Range * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Jasteven Walker * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Amarr Knox | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Micah Octave | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sean Smith | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ubong Okon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Reed | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendal Parker | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achor Achor * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Dallas Graziani * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Rylan Jones * | 17 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Staton-McCray * | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Holloway | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jaden Campbell | 17 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Garrett Hicks | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nathan Johnson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Chandler Leopard | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Zach Loveday | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Owen LaRocca | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Grayson Walters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joshua Hughes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Kizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter