Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +7 (91-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 38 | 9-22 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 37 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| K. Brown | 12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 38 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 36 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 35 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cayla George | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter