Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mason * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| C. Moore * | 39 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Clay * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| D. Mayo Jr. * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N.J. Benson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Edwards | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Ayres | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| T. Bey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney * | 38 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| A. Marciulionis * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| M. Saxen * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Jefferson * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Player #4432971 * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Barrett | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Forbes | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Howell | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Ross | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Wessels | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter