🐻⬇️🏀

Missouri State Bears 73
@
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 77
2023-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% - ✓
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 ✓ (3.1 off)
Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% - ✗

Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alston Mason * 44 9-20 2-9 8-8 7 2 0 0 2 28 15 -
Matthew Lee * 37 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 3 -5 -
Chance Moore * 37 5-10 1-5 2-2 11 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
Donovan Clay * 36 8-17 4-6 4-5 7 1 1 0 1 24 15 -
Damien Mayo Jr. * 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
N.J. Benson 18 0-2 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 2 2 3 8 -
Raphe Ayres 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Cesare Edwards 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tyler Bey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Bufford * 40 2-11 1-7 2-4 5 2 0 1 1 7 3 -
Jacob Johnson * 35 4-9 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 8 10 -
Elias King * 33 8-14 6-10 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 22 16 -
Jared Coleman-Jones * 33 5-9 1-2 3-4 9 3 3 1 3 14 18 -
Jestin Porter * 30 4-16 1-8 1-4 4 1 1 0 2 10 -2 -
Jalen Jordan 25 4-7 3-4 3-5 0 0 1 0 0 14 8 -
Ty Mosley 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chris Loofe 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
Tre Green 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter