Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mason * | 44 | 9-20 | 2-9 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| M. Lee * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5 | - |
| C. Moore * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| D. Clay * | 36 | 8-17 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| D. Mayo Jr. * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| R. Ayres | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Edwards | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Bey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bufford * | 40 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. King * | 33 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| J. Coleman-Jones * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Porter * | 30 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| J. Jordan | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ty Mosley | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Loofe | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter