Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Polite III * | 40 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Maddox * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Kelly * | 28 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 27 | - |
| K. Hall * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Billups * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Newton | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Okojie | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Henry | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Wood | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maddox Jr. * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| R. Moss * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Simmons * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| T. Cochran * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| G. Brcic * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Wilson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Lewis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Lorentsson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Ford | 10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Wight | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter