Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javan Simmons * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ra'Heim Moss * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Sonny Wilson * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dante Maddox Jr. * | 28 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Ben Wight * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Cochran | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andre Lorentsson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sam Lewis | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Grgur Brcic | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bryce Ford | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Noel * | 40 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Trey Calvin * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| AJ Braun * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tanner Holden * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Alex Huibregtse * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kaden Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Logan Woods | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Drey Carter | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Welage | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter