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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - โœ—
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 โœ— (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.2% 72.8% - โœ—

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -3 (81-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. * 42 10-19 3-10 3-3 3 4 2 0 2 26 14 -
Nana Owusu-Anane * 41 6-9 2-3 6-8 6 2 1 0 3 20 17 -
AJ Lesburt Jr. * 33 4-11 2-5 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
Kalu Anya * 25 2-8 0-0 4-5 11 1 1 1 3 8 11 -
Lyndel Erold * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Aaron Cooley 30 4-9 1-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 9 2 -
Malachi Ndur 24 1-1 1-1 3-4 4 2 0 1 3 6 9 -
Kimo Ferrari 20 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
N'famara Dabo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bez Mbeng * 45 4-8 2-6 0-0 1 6 1 2 3 10 9 -
Matt Knowling * 36 5-10 0-1 1-3 5 3 2 0 0 11 11 -
John Poulakidas * 35 6-13 2-7 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 14 9 -
August Mahoney * 33 5-9 4-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 16 10 -
Y. Basa-Ama * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Player #5107173 31 4-8 0-1 4-4 7 2 1 0 3 12 11 -
Nick Townsend 18 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 9 9 -
Casey Simmons 17 4-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
Yassine Gharram 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter