Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (84-79). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Newman III * | 30 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Viktor Lakhin * | 30 | 8-17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Aziz Bandaogo * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 18 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jizzle James | 21 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Simas Lukosius | 17 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ody Oguama | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Josh Reed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayvion McKnight * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Player #4432070 * | 36 | 6-14 | 6-8 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Desmond Claude * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Abou Ousmane * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Lazar Djokovic * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gytis Nemeiksa | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sasa Ciani | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Dailyn Swain | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter