Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Player #4433607 * | 34 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Kobe Elvis * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 14-14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Javon Bennett * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Koby Brea | 34 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Petras Padegimas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Jack | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aziz Bandaogo * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Viktor Lakhin * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| John Newman III * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Simas Lukosius | 22 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jizzle James | 21 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ody Oguama | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter