Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Eugene * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Muhammad * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| V. Valdes * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Seng * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Fields * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Rigsby | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Conerway | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Dowd | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Jones | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Ovalle | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Rigsby Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Santos * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Player #4433607 * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 34 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 31 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| E. Cheeks * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Bennett * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Brea | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| P. Padegimas | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| I. Jack | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Dickey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Uhl | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Maxwell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Grant | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Schuler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter