Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4433607 * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Nate Santos * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Elvis * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Javon Bennett * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Koby Brea | 31 | 8-13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Jack | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhuric Phelps * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Chuck Harris * | 32 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| B.J. Edwards * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 22 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tyreek Smith | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter