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Dayton Flyers 65
@
SMU Mustangs 63
2023-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% - ✓
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 ✗ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% - ✓

Actual: SMU Mustangs -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4433607 * 33 6-10 1-1 7-9 7 6 1 3 2 20 25 -
E. Cheeks * 33 3-7 3-6 0-0 7 3 2 1 1 9 14 -
N. Santos * 32 2-9 0-0 0-1 4 3 1 0 3 4 0 -
K. Elvis * 27 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 4 -2 -
J. Bennett * 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Brea 31 8-13 6-8 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 22 16 -
I. Jack 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
Z. Nwokeji 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Phelps * 33 6-15 2-6 1-2 3 1 4 0 4 15 4 -
C. Harris * 32 3-14 1-6 1-1 1 3 1 0 2 8 -3 -
B.J. Edwards * 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 6 7 -
K. Ambrose-Hylton * 25 5-7 0-1 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 12 10 -
S. Williamson * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 -
J. Hudson 22 3-11 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 8 4 -
T. Smith 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 2 3 8 13 -
J. Smith 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Wright 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
E. Lanier 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter