Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4433607 * | 38 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Bennett * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Santos * | 36 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. Cheeks * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Brea | 25 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| P. Padegimas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Jack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Langborg * | 39 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Player #4684208 * | 39 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Player #4592712 * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Berry * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Nicholson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Martinelli | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Preston | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Clayton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter