Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +1 (74-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bradley | 36 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Jones | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Young | 35 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Amirah Abdur-Rahim | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| TK Pitts | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chantae Embry | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Chandler | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Perry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Peterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mikonowicz | 36 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 36 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| S. Wiard | 35 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Goss | 32 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | - |
| N. Garcia | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Cook | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Rinat | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| H. Noveroske | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Weaver | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Dykstra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter