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2024-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets St. Thomas Tommies Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“

Actual: St. Thomas Tommies +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Irune Orio 35 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 2 4 5 4 -
Benthe Versteeg 35 2-6 0-0 4-4 1 6 0 0 5 8 4 -
Summah Hanson 34 6-12 0-2 3-3 6 0 1 0 2 15 8 -
S. Amusan 31 3-7 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 9 2 -
Sophia Lee 27 2-2 1-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 5 8 2 -
Kaylie Edge 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 2 -
Ayanna Jackson 12 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
Lina Falk 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Lautaimi 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Segretain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J'yana Salton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

St. Thomas Tommies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jade Hill 31 6-11 1-4 2-3 1 3 1 0 3 15 6 -
Amber Scalia 29 5-9 3-4 9-10 2 4 2 0 3 22 18 -
J. Glynn 28 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 5 1 -
Jo Langbehn 24 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 10 10 -
Sammy Opichka 22 3-9 2-5 3-4 6 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
Jordyn Lamker 19 2-4 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
A. Hammond 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 0 -1 -
Phoebe Frentzel 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Faith Feuerbach 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Gabby Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Zoey Washington 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
Lizzie Steingraber 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
E. Miner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter