Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ajayi * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Malik Moore * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Houston Mallette * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Ethan Anderson * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Aladji Gassama * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Pitre | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Nils Cooper | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Cord Stansberry | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Curtis Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 39 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 37 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 33 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 6-12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Niko Rocak * | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Sam Manu | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pablo Tamba | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sione Lose | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter