Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor * | 39 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Mark Mitchell * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jared McCain * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Caleb Foster | 29 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Young | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 26 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Coen Carr | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Booker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter