Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Lance Jones * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Myles Colvin | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Camden Heide | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard * | 39 | 5-17 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Hickman * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Dusty Stromer * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Graham Ike * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Braden Huff | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Yeo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luka Krajnovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter