Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +23 (77-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Beekman * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Isaac McKneely * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jacob Groves * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Rohde * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leon Bond III | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Taine Murray | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Gertrude | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Blake Buchanan | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Minor | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| David Jones * | 28 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Jaykwon Walton * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Jourdain * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Caleb Mills | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ashton Hardaway | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Carl Cherenfant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Pierre | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter