Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Gators -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rohde * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| I. McKneely * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Player #4432187 * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J. Groves * | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Harris | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Bond III | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4896372 * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Kugel * | 34 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Player #4432105 * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Player #4897262 * | 31 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Handlogten * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| A. Condon | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Haugh | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| D. Aberdeen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Rishwain | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter