Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +30 (80-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benjamin * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Williams * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Gaddy * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Moussa * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Miles | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Innocenti | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Barnes | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Ayala | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. McKneely * | 29 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Player #4432187 * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| A. Rohde * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| J. Groves * | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Harris | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| L. Bond III | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Player #4594263 | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Murray | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. How | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter